Carsem group: gbpjpy downside risk remains by James Chen Tuesday, the British pound against most major currencies fell, the yen as risk aversion temporarily return upward, pound yen continues to fall, once again breaking 164. Oil prices Tuesday diving is a result of the current round of risk sentiment pressure, flow into the catalyst of hedging again yen. Saudi Arabia, Russia and other oil producing countries could reach agreement to freeze the yield statement, it is widely regarded as less a matter of expediency, can not effectively curb mass production overcapacity situation, oil prices fell sharply. Although the stock market is still modest upward, crude oil prices fell again, taking over the weekend to early this week or large gains. The pound continued downward is mainly attributed to the Bank of England [micro-blog] attitude is dovish, had expected a moment to launch their monetary tightening cycle the central bank will raise interest rates for the first time after the fed. This was expected since the Dodge, in view of the recent economic growth, financial market stability and low inflation worries, even expected to the potential likely to cut interest rates. The interest rate is expected to lead to the pound fell, while the yen due to global market volatility and market panic continued to push up, gbpjpy serious pressure. Late last week, the currency fell continuously in more than a week after the exploration into the multi-year lows and important psychological support near 160. Although the currency fell to 160 soon after the rebound, the current price trend once again under the low. The pound yen as the stock market and oil market continues to maintain market volatility, "risk aversion" tone, the yen will further upstream. At the same time as the pound will remain under pressure, or pound yen extended losses, breaking 160 support. This will confirm the current decline continues, an important downstream target next at 156.50, then 154 support level. Sina’s statement: sina.com.cn posted this article for more information to pass, does not mean that agree with their views or confirm the description. This article is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors operate your own risk.

嘉盛集团:英镑 日元下行风险依旧   撰文:James Chen   周二,英镑兑大部分主要货币大跌,日元因风险规避情绪暂时回归上行,英镑 日元继续暴跌,再度下破164.00。   油价周二跳水是导致此轮风险情绪承压,避险流再度涌入日元的催化剂之一。沙特阿拉伯、俄罗斯和其他石油生产国就可能达成产量冻结协议发布声明,此举被广泛视为力度不大的权宜之计,无法有效遏制大规模产量过剩局面,油价应声大跌。尽管股市仍温和上行,原油价格再度重挫,回吐上周末至本周初斩获的大量涨幅。   英镑继续下行主要归因于英央行[微博]态度的日渐鸽派,此前预期央行将于美联储首次加息后某个时刻启动自身货币收紧周期。该预期此后明显减淡,鉴于近期有关经济增长、金融市场稳定性和低通胀的担忧,预期甚至转向潜在降息可能性。   利率预期导致英镑下挫,而日元则因全球市场波动性及市场持续恐慌情绪推高,英镑 日元严重承压。上周后期,货币对在一个多星期以来的连续大跌后探入多年低点及重要心理支撑160.00附近。尽管货币对跌入160.00后很快回弹,当前价格走势开始再度下看上述低点。 英镑 日元   如股市和原油市场继续波动,市场保持“风险规避”基调,日元将进一步上行。如英镑同时继续承压,英镑 日元或扩大跌势,下破160.00支撑。这将确认当前跌势继续,下一重要下行目标位于156.50,然后是154.00支撑水平。 新浪声明:新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。相关的主题文章: